Superforecasting: How to Make Accurate Predictions About the Future

Mikhail Yagudin is a mathematician and a co-founder of one of the world’s most accurate forecasting groups. Together with his colleagues, Mikhail predicts elections, wars, pandemics, and other events that can affect the lives of millions. Samat talks with him about how superforecasters work, whether forecasting skills are useful in everyday life, and what predictions experts are making about artificial intelligence.